Foreign Politics

Trade policy and institutional design: Brazil and Argentina in comparative perspective

The objective of this project is to observe whether there is change or rather continuity in the patterns of trade policy by adopting a comparative perspective and focusing on the main aspects of the institutional field. The main puzzle is to explain how two countries (Brazil and Argentina) with similar economic models at some point and facing analogous changes from the world economic scenario, ended up with such distinct trajectories in terms of trade policy. The investigation covers the 1990-2005 period and it adopts a qualitative methodology by building a panel of the main foreign policy approaches in the field of trading and analyzing three levels of decision-making: inter-bureaucratic, legislative dynamics and Executive-Legislative relations.

 

From Janina Onuki.

 

National Legislatures, Democracy and Foreign Policy: a comparative study of Brazil, Chile and Mexico

At the end of each electoral cycle it becomes clear that foreign policy has become one of the key dimensions connecting democracy and development in Latin America. Regional integration, international security, international trade agreements, legislation on international migration, energy and regulation are some among many international issues that have become frequent, and sometimes polarized, in national electoral debates. Contrary to the predictions that Latin-American countries would inevitably, from the 1990s, move towards a convergent model of development dictated by the competitive integration into the world economy, what was seen in the countries of the region was the emergency of hard-fought disputes concerning the concepts of development and the confrontation of ideas from political coalitions, political parties and national elites. The degree of polarization in these political disputes or otherwise the level of ideological convergence varies from country to country. For instance, political disputes tend to be more polarized in Argentina and Mexico than Brazil and Chile. Similarly, institutional structures are quite distinct, especially regarding legislative-executive relations at the national level, institutions responsible for bridging the gap between Society and Governments on foreign policy. The fundamental objective of this project is to analyze the evolution of both the institutional role and the performance of national legislatures on foreign policy in four countries: Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Mexico. Besides updating the analysis on the connections among Society, Legislatures and Foreign Policy, the original contribution of this research refers to the systematic way in which the comparison of the political-institutional dimension is dealt with in the field of Latin American foreign policy, an aspect that has traditionally received little attention by the international literature.

 

Researchers involved

 

Brazil, the Americas and the World: public opinion and foreign policy 2010

The main goal of this research project is to describe and analyze the perception that the Brazilian population has on our foreign policy and international policy. It is part of an international academic endeavor that includes research teams from many Latin American countries: Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Guatemala, Mexico and Peru. The general coordination is entrusted to the Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas (CIDE) in Mexico. This international project aims to comprehend the perceptions and attitudes that the public has on international issues that have gained more importance over the last century and to capture the reactions of society towards international changes and the domestic impacts. The study covers a broad range of themes (cultural, economic, social, political, security) and levels (bilateral, regional and global) relating to international relations and foreign policy. A survey using a probabilistic sampling of 2,400 cases and stratified nationally will be carried out. Results will be presented in two forms:

  1. an analysis of the attitudes and perceptions that Brazilians have concerning the set of themes included in the questionnaires;
  2. a comparative analysis of the perceptions the public has about the position of the country within the international scenario and the foreign policy agenda in the seven countries investigated.

 

Researchers involved

 

Country adherence to the regime of International Intellectual Property (1883-2007)

This research aims to study the incentives countries have to adhere to regimes of international intellectual property and to change their domestic legislation. In order to do so, we use a quantitative methodology and build a database of 190 countries. The database lists the year that each country adhered to a variety of international intellectual property regimes and also contains variables with country characteristics such as GDP, share of industry on GDP etc. Thus, we will be able to test hypotheses based on the literature on the determinants of country adhesion to multilateral international agreements and/or treaties of intellectual property.

 

Researchers involved

 

The federative face of trade policy: a comparative study between São Paulo and Maharashtra

The objective of this project is to produce a comparative analysis between the State of São Paulo and Maharashtra concerning the formulation and conduction of national trade policy in Brazil and India, respectively. This case study can contribute to the analysis of the relationship between federalism and trade policy, a consolidated field of study in other countries but underdeveloped in this country.

 

Researchers involved

 

The State of São Paulo, international negotiations and instruments of trade policy: risks and opportunities

The general objective of this project is to produce a series of studies and instruments of analysis that could directly or indirectly support the Government of the State of São Paulo to formulate strategies of international trade. In many countries, such as the EUA, Canada, Mexico, India among others, subnational units, especially those detaining larger and significant economic weight within the federation, are endowed with strategic trade policies to minimize risks and enlarge opportunities in a context of growing economic internationalization. Despite the existing constraints put in place by the Brazilian federation model, which imposes restrictions on/to the organization of a genuinely sub-federal trade policy, the state of São Paulo cannot abdicate from a strategic planning of an international trade policy compatible with its weight. Contributing so the state of São Paulo, together with its Secretary for Development, enhances existing tools and creates new mechanisms of subnational trade policy is the main goal of this project.

 

Researchers involved

 

Coalitions and multilaterism: the Brazilian foreign policy and IBSA and G-20 coalitions

This research aims to broaden the understanding of South-South coalition or alliance formation within the new multilateral agenda context. The analysis will focus on two South-South coalitions, the G-3 (also known as IBSA) and the G-20 given their importance in terms of trade multilateralism. Through the use of spatial models and based on G-3 and G-20 coalitions, this project tries to understand the bases of south-south alliance formation understood as multilateral games. Based on preference assessment (ideal points of countries, the unit of analysis in this case), the situation of regimes (the status quo) and the indifference curve for countries, spatial models are used to analyze the prospects of international coalition formation.

 

From Janina Onuki e Amâncio Jorge de Oliveira.

Institutional constraints and possibilities and the south-American integration

The goal of this project is to analyze the perspectives of regional south-American integration with a focus on the main barriers and potentialities within the institutional and political fields. More specifically, it tries to identify the main domestic institutional aspects that appear as barriers to a south-American integration.

 

Researchers involved

 

The bases of coalition building and multilateral negotiations: Brazil, India and South Africa

The main objective of this research was to contribute to a larger comprehension about the (domestic and international) bases to form domestic coalitions, or partnerships, of a South-South type within this new context of multilateral agenda. In order to do so, the first phase of the research is concerned with the construction of a database and presented the following results:

  1. an in-depth literature review of coalition formation;
  2. discussions on methods and database improvement;
  3. the feeding of the database, which includes data on the position taken by the three countries during the WTO negotiations and their votes on UN Committees (Human Rights and Security). 

 

Researchers involved

 

Design, Negotiation and Approval of International Treaties: the case of the International Arms Trade Treaty

This research project analyzes the challenges of negotiating an international treaty on arms trade based on a recent literature that focus on the design of international regimes, the efficacy of these regimes and the decision-making mechanisms to approve international instruments. Concerning the design of international regimes, the work of Koremenos, Lipson and Snidal (2001) constitutes a supporting theoretical platform. Regarding the efficacy of the international regimes, I assume that during negotiations countries will attempt to incorporate institutional mechanisms that increase the likelihood of legal obligations compliance. In this sense, Gilligan (2004, 2006) and Downs and Jones (2002) offer a key contribution to understand the reasons and interests that lead countries to abide (or not) by the committed legal obligations within the international sphere. As to the decision-making process, this research project verifies to what extent the mechanisms of approval of treaties and committee elections proposed by Brams, Kilgour, e Sanver (2004, 2007) could contribute to the main object of this study: an international treaty on arms trade. In a first stage, hypotheses related to the positions taken by countries regarding the feasibility, scope and standards of an international treaty for arms trade are tested based on data made available by the United Nations Institute for Disarmament Research.

From Cristiane de Andrade Lucena Carneiro.